Hīkoitanga: Te Peti i tētahi Wāhanga
“Tekau mā whitu me ōna kiritata”, e rima ngā maramara i ia wā, mō te hāora kotahi. Te āhua me te utu o tētahi wā tākaro wāhanga wīra.

He wā tākaro kua whaihangatia, 50 ngā hurihanga, e rima ngā maramara $2 i te 2-25-17-34-6, te pewa kōhao e rima huri noa i te 17. E whitu ngā pānga i ngā hurihanga 50, ko te tapeke +$4 i muri i te heke ki te $120. E rima ngā peti tau kotahi me tētahi kōrero, ā, kāore te kōrero e huri i tētahi mea.
Te mahere
Pānuitia “tekau mā whitu me ōna kiritatapetiKiritataHe tau me ngā kōhao e rua i ia taha ōna i te wīra, e rima ngā maramara tau kotahi.Pānuitia katoatia →”, pāwhiritia rānei te 17 i te ara reihitēpuAra reihiTe tīwhiri porotītaha i ngā mahere peti ora, hiko hoki e whakaatu ana i ngā tau i te raupapa o te wīra, hei whakatakoto i ngā peti kiritata me ngā peti wāhanga ki te pā kotahi.Pānuitia katoatia →: $2 ia mea i te 2, te 25, te 17, te 34 me te 6, ngā kōhaotaputapuKōhaoTētahi o ngā wehenga e 37 kua tauia i te rōta. Arā anō: slot, cup.Pānuitia katoatia → e rima e piri ana huri noa i te 17 i te wīra. $10 ia hurihanga. Ka utu te pānga i te 35 × $2 = $70 i tētahi maramaramoniMaramaraHe tohu e tohu ana i tētahi moni pūmau, ka whakatakotoria ki te mahere peti hei peti. Arā anō: check.Pānuitia katoatia →, ā, ka ngaro ngā mea e whā atu: +$62. Ka ngaro te $10 i te hapa. Ko te tūponotangapāngarauTūponotangaTe tūpono o tētahi putanga, mai i te 0 ki te 1, mai i te 0% ki te 100% rānei. Tau kotahi: 1/37 = 2.70%.Pānuitia katoatia → o te pānga 5/37 = 13.51%: tata ki te kotahi hurihanga i ia 7.4. Te hua e tūmanakohia ana i ngā hurihanga 50: −$13.51.
Ngā hurihanga 1–15
Hapa, hapa, hapa, hapa, hapa, hapa, hapa, hapa, hapa, hapa, hapa, hapa, pānga (34), hapa, hapa. Kotahi te pānga i ngā mea tekau mā rima; kua heke i te $120 i te hurihanga 12, kātahi +$62 i te hurihanga 13, kua heke i te $78 i muri i te tekau mā rima. Ko te tūponotanga o ngā hapa tekau mā rua i te raupapa kotahi mai i te tīmatanga, (32/37)¹² ≈ 17%. Ko te huarere noa tēnei o te kaipeti wāhangawīraWāhangaHe pewa kōhao honohono i te wīra, he rerekē i tētahi rōpū i te mahere peti.Pānuitia katoatia →.

Ngā hurihanga 16–50
E toru ngā pānga i te poraka tuarua, e rua i te tuatoru, kotahi i ngā mea e rima whakamutunga. E whitu ngā pānga i ngā hurihanga e rima tekau, ki te tūmanako o te 6.76: he auau pānga toharite rawa, me tētahi hua +$4 nō te taenga mai o ngā pānga i te raupapa pai noa iho. Me i tae mai te pānga whakamutunga kotahi hurihanga i muri, kua wehe tātou i te −$68. Me i pā anō te 17 kotahi atu, +$76. He nui te tītaringapāngarauTītaringaHe inenga o te whānui o te marara o ngā hua huri noa i te uara tūmanako. He teitei mō te tau kotahi, he hakahaka mō ngā peti utu ōrite.Pānuitia katoatia → o tētahi peti 13.5% i ngā hurihanga 50 ki te taha o te ngaronga tūmanakopāngarauNgaronga tūmanakoTe uara tūmanako whakareatia ki te tapeke o te moni kua petihia; te moni toharite ka ngaro i roto i te wā tākaro, i tētahi wā rānei.Pānuitia katoatia → $13.51: tata ki te $175 te hipanga paerewapāngarauHipanga paerewaTe pūtake rua o te tītaringa; te tawhiti noa o te hua i te uara tūmanako.Pānuitia katoatia → o te hua.
- p10 −$300
- p25 −$300
- tau waenga −$300
- p75 −$300
- p90 +$760
He aha te wāhanga
Nā te mea he pewa tinana o te wīra, ā, he mea nui tērā mēnā anake he tītaha te wīra ki taua pewa, ā, kāore ā tātou taunakitanga mō tērā. Ki te kore he tītaha, ko te peti wāhanga, e rima ngā peti tau kotahipetiTau kotahiHe tau kotahi, ko te utunga 35:1.Pānuitia katoatia → kāore e hono ana: he ōrite te painga, he ōrite te utungamoniUtungaTe moni ka whakahokia e te peti toa, ka kīia ko “X ki te 1”, hei tāpiri ki te moni peti ka whakahokia.Pānuitia katoatia →, he ōrite ngā tūpono ki te 2, 25, 17, 34 me te 6 i kōwhiria nā te mea he rā whānau nō tētahi. Mā te ara reihi e tere ai te whakatakoto, ā, ka whai kōrero te pō. Kāore te tātai e pānui i ngā kōrero.
He aha te mea rerekē kua mahia e tētahi kaitākaro tītaha
Kua tuhia i te tuatahi ngā mano hurihanga o tēnei wīra tonu, kua kitea tētahi wāhanga e pā ana i runga ake i te 5/37 i ngā tauira motuhake e rua, ā, kua petihia me tētahi moni peti kua whakaritea ki te painga i inea. Ko ā tātou pānga e whitu i ngā hurihanga e rima tekau, ehara i te taunakitanga o tētahi mea; e ai ki te whārangi rahinga tauira o te Taiwhanga, me kotahi rau te whakareatanga o ngā hurihanga kia kī ai mēnā he mahana tēnei pewa. I petihia e tātou nā te mea he tau pai te 17, ā, koinā tonu te take a te katoa.
Ngā pātai
He ōrite, ki te kore te wīra e tītaha ki taua pewa, ā, me mano ngā hurihanga kia mōhio ai.
He tēpu $10 me tētahi peti karangatēpuPeti karangaHe peti ka pānuitia ki te kaitiritiri, kāore e whakatakotoria ā-ringa, i te nuinga he peti wāhanga wīra pērā i te voisins, i te tiers rānei. Arā anō: “peti pānui”.Pānuitia katoatia → e rima ngā maramara. Ko te tepe iti o roto, e pā ana ki te tapeke.
Ka whakatakotoria e te “mā te 3” ngā maramara e whitu e kapi ana i ngā kōhao e whitu i te 18.9%. He ōrite te painga, he māeneene ake te haere.
He katakata iti

E rima ngā peti tau kotahi me tētahi kōrero. Kāore te wīra e pānui.
Ngā Puna
- Barnhart, R. T. Beating the Wheel.
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.