Ngā Hīkoitanga · Hīkoitanga · 7 meneti

Hīkoitanga: He Pikinga Fibonacci

Ngā moni peti o te 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13 i te pangopetiPangoHe peti utu ōrite ki ngā tau pango e 18. Wīwī: noir.Pānuitia katoatia →, ka hoki whakamuri e rua hīkoi i muri i te toa. He Martingale pōturi ake, me te āhua o te taenga mai o tōna pari.

Whakautu poto

He wā tākaro Fibonacci kua whaihangatia, 90 ngā hurihanga, $5 ia wae. E rua tekau ngā pōkai i oti, $5 ia mea, me tētahi raupapa kino ki te kupu tuaiwa (he moni peti $170) i heke ai te wā tākaro i te $340. He ngāwari ake i te whakarearua, kia tae rā anō ki te wā kāore.

wae
$5 i te pango
raupapa
1 1 2 3 5 8 13 21 34
pari
he moni peti $170 i te kupu tuaiwa
hua
−$340 i ngā hurihanga 90

Hīkoitia te raupapa

Ka neke te hinga kotahi te hīkoi ki te matau. Ka neke te toa e rua ngā hīkoi whakamuri.

11235813213455Hinga
moni peti e whai ake ana1hua tae noa ki nāianei0ngā hurihanga0

Ko ngā moni peti me ngā hua he wae o te peti taketake.

Te mahere

Petihia te tau FibonaccirautakiFibonacciHe kauneke e whai ana i te raupapa 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13…: kotahi te hīkoi whakamua i muri i te hinga, e rua ngā hīkoi whakamuri i muri i te toa.Pānuitia katoatia → tuatahi, $5. I muri i te hinga, nekehia kotahi hīkoi ki matau i te raupapa. I muri i te toa, nekehia e rua hīkoi ki mauī. Ka oti tētahi pōkai ina hoki tātou ki te tīmatanga me te piki o te kotahi waemoniWaeTe moni peti taketake e mahi ai tētahi pūnaha, tētahi kaitākaro rānei. Ka whakaahuatia ngā kauneke ki ngā wae kia hāngai ai ki ia tēpu.Pānuitia katoatia →. Ki te whakatairite ki te MartingalerautakiMartingaleHe kauneke e whakarua ana i te peti i muri i ia hinga. Tirohia te wāhanga Rautaki mō ōna mahi me ngā mea kāore e mahia e ia.Pānuitia katoatia →, ka tupu te moni peti i te ×1.6, kaua i te ×2, nā reira he tawhiti ake te pari, he pōturi ake te piki whakamuri: kāore te toa e whakamutu i te pōkai, ka hoki whakamuri noa iho.

Ngā hurihanga 1–40

Tekau mā tahi ngā pōkai i oti; ko te mea roa rawa i tae ki te kupu tuarima ($25). Ka whiwhi tika ia pōkai i oti i te $5; he pai te pupuri kaute, ā, i noho iti ngā moni peti. Ko te tapeke +$55. He rite ki te Martingale kua tangohia te mataku.

pōkairaupapangā moni petitapeke
1T5+$5
2H T T5, 5, 5 → kua oti+$5
3H H T H T T5, 5, 10, 5, 5, 5+$5
4H H H T T T5, 5, 10, 15, 5, 5+$5
5–11nui rawa: kupu 5 ($25)≤ 25+$35
i muri i ngā hurihanga 4011 pōkai i oti+$55

Ngā hurihanga 41–70

E rima anō ngā pōkai ka oti i te hurihanga 60 (+$25). Kātahi ko te pōkai kāore e oti. H H H H H H H T H H (T = toa, H = hinga): ngā moni peti 5, 5, 10, 15, 25, 40, 65 (e whitu ngā hinga, −$165), he toa i te $105 (+$105, hoki whakamuri e rua ki te $40), kātahi e rua ngā hinga i te $40 me te $65. Kei te kupu tuawaru tātou ināianei, $105, me te −$165 i te pōkai, ā, mā te hinga e whai ake nei tātou e tuku ki te $170, ki tētahi tepe tēputēpuTepe tēpuTe peti iti rawa me te peti nui rawa ka whakaaetia. Ko te tepe nui te mea e aukati ana i ngā kauneke whakarua.Pānuitia katoatia → $200. Ko te tapeke mō te wāhanga −$140.

Tēnei wā tākaro me ētahi atu e iwa e rite anahua ki te tīmatanga
+$595$0−$500+$480−$2500125250375500ngā hurihangahua
1,000 wā tākaro × 500 hurihanga · waiporoporo p10/p25/p75/p90, kahurangi māmā tau waenga, 83 tauira hātea · nekehia i runga i te kauwhata kia kite i ngā wāhanga ōrau i tētahi hurihanga
  • p10 −$500
  • p25 −$500
  • tau waenga −$500
  • p75 +$390
  • p90 +$480
1,000 wā tākaro × 500 hurihanga · kua tapahia te tuaka-y ki te pae ōrau 1–99 (ngā taha −$500 ki te +$700) · 500 hurihanga · taketake $5 · utu ōrite
He pōturi ake te piki i te Martingale, he teitei ake, he tōmuri ake te pari. Ko ngā rārangi ka taka, ka taka tawhiti, ā, ka taka i ētahi hurihanga, kaua i te kotahi.

Ngā Tepe Tēpu Rūreti

Ngā hurihanga 71–90

H H: ka ngaro te $105, kātahi te $170, ā, kua tae te pōkai ki te −$440. Ko te moni peti e whai ake ana $275, kei tua atu i te tepe, nā reira i te hurihanga 72 ka whakarērea e tātou te pōkai, ka tīmata anō i te $5. Koinā te pari. I ngā hurihanga tekau mā waru e toe ana, e whā anō ngā pōkai ka oti. Ko te mutunga −$340; ko te wāhi hakahaka rawa o te pūtea tākaromoniPūtea tākaroTe katoa o te moni kua wehea mō te tākaro. Ko te whakahaere pūtea tākaro te whakatau i te nui e tūraru ai i ia peti, i ia wā tākaro.Pānuitia katoatia →, −$360.

Ka tupu ngā moni peti i te tata ki te 1.6 i muri i ia hinga; i te hīkoi tuawaru, kua kore e uru te mea e whai ake ana ki raro i te tepe.

Ngā kaute

Ko te tapeke i petihia tata ki te $1,200, ki te $450 mō te peti papatahi. Ko te ngaronga tūmanakopāngarauNgaronga tūmanakoTe uara tūmanako whakareatia ki te tapeke o te moni kua petihia; te moni toharite ka ngaro i roto i te wā tākaro, i tētahi wā rānei.Pānuitia katoatia → i te $1,200, ko te $32; ko te −$340 tūturu, tata ki te kotahi me te haurua hipanga paerewapāngarauHipanga paerewaTe pūtake rua o te tītaringa; te tawhiti noa o te hua i te uara tūmanako.Pānuitia katoatia → ki raro, he wā tākaro kino, ā, ko te momo wā tākaro ka puta mai i te Fibonacci tata ki te kotahi i ia rima i tēnei roanga. I utu ngā pōkai i oti i te $5 ia mea; ko te pōkai kino, i utu i te waru tekau mā waru o ēnei.

Ngā mea e kitea ana i te wā tākaro

Ka horahia e te Fibonacci te pari o te Martingale ki ētahi hurihanga, ā, ka panaia ki tawhiti atu, ā, koinā e haumaru ake ai, e tinihanga ake ai hoki: he tika te āhua o te raupapa moni peti tae noa ki te mea kāore i te tika. Kāore i huri te ngaronga tūmanako ia tāra; ko te tapeke petimoniTapeke petiTe tapeke o te moni kua petihia i roto i te wā tākaro, i tētahi wā rānei, tae atu ki ngā moni toa kua petihia anō. Arā anō: handle, action.Pānuitia katoatia → tāpiri nō te piki te wāhi e riro ai te moni.

Ngā pātai

He aha i hoki whakamuri ai e rua i muri i te toa?

Nā te mea ka whakahokia mai e te toa i te kupu n ngā ngaronga i ngā kupu n−1 me n−2, ā, ko tō rāua tapeke, ko ia tonu. I hangaia te raupapa mō te ture.

He haumaru ake tēnei i te Martingale?

He iti iho te moni peti nui rawa mō te maha ōrite o ngā hinga, nā reira āe, i te tikanga o te pari tōmuri ake. He ōrite tonu te tūmanako.

Ko tēhea te kupu tuatahi ka pakaru i te tepe $500?

Ko te tekau mā rua i te wae $5: 5, 5, 10, 15, 25, 40, 65, 105, 170, 275, 445, kātahi ko te 720.

He katakata iti

Ko te ōwehenga koura, 1.618. Ko te painga o te whare, 2.70% tonu.

Ko te ōwehenga koura, 1.618. Ko te painga o te whare, 2.70% tonu.

Ngā Puna

  1. Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010. Upoko 13, rūreti.
i arotakehia 2026-09-28tauira: Ūropi, kore kotahitikanga mahi ↗ngā puna kōrero ↗