Te Tūtohi Tūpono me te Tūponotanga Rūreti
Ia peti paerewa me tōna tūponotanga, utunga, uara tūmanakopāngarauUara tūmanakoTe hua toharite mō ia peti i te wā roa. −1/37 o te moni peti mō ia peti Ūropi paerewa.Pānuitia katoatia → me tōna hipanga paerewa.
He ōrite te uara tūmanako o ngā peti katoa, arā, −2.70% o te moni peti. Ko te tūponotanga me te hora anake te rerekētanga.
Me pēhea te pānui i tēnei tūtohi tūpono rūreti
Ka kōrero te tūponotangapāngarauTūponotangaTe tūpono o tētahi putanga, mai i te 0 ki te 1, mai i te 0% ki te 100% rānei. Tau kotahi: 1/37 = 2.70%.Pānuitia katoatia → ki a koe e hia te auau o tō toa; ka kōrero te utungamoniUtungaTe moni ka whakahokia e te peti toa, ka kīia ko “X ki te 1”, hei tāpiri ki te moni peti ka whakahokia.Pānuitia katoatia →, e kīia ana ko ngā tūpono rūreti, e hia te nui; ka kōrero te σ e pēhea te tūpekepeke o te haerenga. He ōrite te tīwae EV i ia rārangi nā te hanga tonu, nō reira he rārangi kai o ngā tītaringapāngarauTītaringaHe inenga o te whānui o te marara o ngā hua huri noa i te uara tūmanako. He teitei mō te tau kotahi, he hakahaka mō ngā peti utu ōrite.Pānuitia katoatia → te tūtohi nei i te utu kotahi.
Ngā peti karanga
Ko ngā peti wāhangawīraWāhangaHe pewa kōhao honohono i te wīra, he rerekē i tētahi rōpū i te mahere peti.Pānuitia katoatia → he huinga o ngā peti paerewa, ā, ka riro mai i a rātou tō rātou painga. He āhua utunga motuhake tō ia peti nā te mea kāore i te ōrite te tohatoha o ngā maramaramoniMaramaraHe tohu e tohu ana i tētahi moni pūmau, ka whakatakotoria ki te mahere peti hei peti. Arā anō: check.Pānuitia katoatia →.
I ngā hurihanga maha
Ngā tūponotanga kia kotahi te pā, neke atu rānei, i ngā hurihanga k, mō ētahi pātai noa.
Ngā hora o te wā tākaro
Te hipanga paerewapāngarauHipanga paerewaTe pūtake rua o te tītaringa; te tawhiti noa o te hua i te uara tūmanako.Pānuitia katoatia → o te wā tākaro hurihanga 100 ki te $10 papatahi, mō ia peti, me te hua tūmanako ōrite o te −$27.
Ngā pātai
Nā te mea ko ia utunga he 36/n − 1 ki te utu tōkeke 37/n − 1. Tirohia te whārangi painga o te wharepāngarauPainga o te whareTe wāhanga o ia moni peti ka puritia e te whare petipeti i te toharite: 2.70% i te rūreti Ūropi.Pānuitia katoatia →.
Ko ngā peti utu ōritepetiPeti utu ōriteWhero/pango, kehe/taurite, teitei/hakahaka. 18 ngā tau, ko te utunga 1:1.Pānuitia katoatia → i te tēpu Wīwī: kāore e rerekē te p me te utunga, ko te EV −1.35%, σ ≈ 0.99.
Wehea ki te 38, kaua ki te 37, ā, ka −5.26% te tīwae EV i ia rārangi, −7.89% mō te peti tau e rima.
He katakata iti
E iwa ngā peti, kotahi te uara tūmanako, kore he mahara.
Ngā Puna
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.